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智能化战争中世界模型技术运用的相关思考
基金项目(Foundation): 国家自然科学基金(U22B2061); 重点实验室自主科研项目(2025-JCJQ-LC-007)
邮箱(Email):
DOI: 10.16358/j.issn.1009-1300.20260142
发布时间: 2026-09-21
出版时间: 2026-09-21
网络发布时间: 2026-09-21
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摘要:

围绕世界模型技术在智能化战争中的应用需求与典型场景展开系统评述,并对未来发展方向进行前瞻性探讨。首先,从战场态势理解与预测、作战方案仿真推演、有人/无人行动规划与协同三个维度,系统归纳了世界模型技术在军事作战中潜在的主要运用模式;随后,深入探讨了支撑世界模型军事运用的关键技术体系,涵盖场景理解与感知预测、动力学建模与仿真推演、行动规划与决策优化等核心维度;最后,对未来世界模型技术军事应用亟需突破的重点方向给出建议。研究表明,世界模型技术通过构建“感知-预测-决策”的完整认知闭环,有望将作战决策周期从传统的“周/天”量级压缩至“小时/分钟”量级,进而形成对传统作战节奏的“代差式”超越。这一技术范式的变革,正在推动作战体系从“数据驱动”的被动响应向“模型驱动”的前瞻预判跃升。

Abstract:

This paper systematically reviews the application requirements and typical scenarios of world model technology in intelligent warfare and provides a forward-looking discussion of its future development directions. First, the potential and main operational application patterns of world model technology are systematically summarized from three dimensions: battlefield situation understanding and prediction, operational plan simulation and wargaming, and manned-unmanned operation planning and collaboration. Furthermore, the key technical systems underpinning military world model applications are explored in depth, encompassing core aspects such as scene understanding and perceptual prediction, dynamics modeling and simulation rollout, as well as action planning and decision optimization. Finally, recommendations are proposed for key directions demanding urgent breakthroughs in the future military applications of world model technology. It is demonstrated that world model technology, by constructing a complete cognitive closed loop of “perception-prediction-decision”, is expected to compress the operational decision-making cycle from the traditional magnitude of weeks or days to hours or minutes, thereby achieving a generational leap over traditional operational tempos. This paradigm shift in decision-making is driving operational systems to evolve from data-driven reactive responses toward model-driven proactive anticipation.

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基本信息:

DOI:10.16358/j.issn.1009-1300.20260142

中图分类号:E91

引用信息:

[1]相虎生,王亚珅,韩龙,等.智能化战争中世界模型技术运用的相关思考[J].战术导弹技术().DOI:10.16358/j.issn.1009-1300.20260142.

基金信息:

国家自然科学基金(U22B2061); 重点实验室自主科研项目(2025-JCJQ-LC-007)

发布时间:

2026-09-21

出版时间:

2026-09-21

网络发布时间:

2026-09-21

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